After nailing a 4/1 winner with Brighton at Chelsea in midweek, Jones Knows has three main bets to attack across the New Year weekend.
How did our bet do in midweek?
Just lovely, thanks for asking. A 2pts play on Brighton to have 10+ shots and with a +2 handicap vs Chelsea landed with relative ease after Graham Potter’s men played with their usual bravery, surpassing the 10 shots line with 40 minutes to play. That victory takes us to 43 points of profit for the season. An ultimately frustrating punting year, soured by some bad-beats to James Ward-Prowse and Ruben Dias – nope, not over it yet, has ended with some cheer.
Let’s bring 2022 in with some more winners, shall we? I’ve got three bets to attack…
P+L = +43
2pts on Arsenal +2 handicap, under 3.5 goals and under 50 match booking pts (100/30 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
With Arsenal coming in the fresher team too having not played since Boxing Day, the case for their fixture with Man City to be competitive is a strong one. I’d not put anyone off having a stab at the Arsenal double chance at 6/4 with Sky Bet, but I’m taking a more cautious route and backing them with a +2 goal start so they can win, draw or lose by one. In their last 18 away days against top-eight sides, Man City have only won four times by more than one goal. It’s a job-done mentality rather than an all-conquering one for Pep Guardiola in these types of tricky games.
I’m happy to throw in the game to be a card friendly affair in order to boost the price. These two teams are notoriously well behaved in their matches. In 2021, only West Ham have seen less yellow cards given to their opponents than Arsenal (50) and Man City (53) when assessing ever-present Premier League teams. It makes the under 50+ booking points very appealing at 4/6 with Sky Bet so I’m happy to sprinkle a bit of that across a nice 100/30 same-game multi-bet price up by Sky Bet.
1pt on Lucas Moura to have a shot on target vs Watford and Micheal Keane to have a shot vs Brighton (3/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Two shots prices stood out to me this weekend, so let’s combine them, shall we?