Fresh from some midweek winners, Jones Knows takes aim at the Premier League matches this weekend and thinks Arsenal can end Man City’s winning run.
Arsenal vs Manchester City, Saturday 12.30
There never really is the ‘perfect’ time to play Manchester City but for Arsenal, this might be close to it.
Yes, City are in irresistible form, winning the last 10 in the Premier League but Arsenal are flowing nicely too, especially at home. They are unbeaten in 11 home games in all competitions, winning 10 of those and it’s their expert defensive axis that continues to impress me. Since the Ben White, Gabriel and Aaron Ramsdale brick wall was formed, Arsenal have still not conceded a goal before the 38th minute in those 16 fixtures.
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Only City have kept more clean sheets than Arsenal (9) since the trio have played together in the win over Norwich.
With Arsenal coming in the fresher team having not played since Boxing Day, the case for them to make this competitive is a strong one. I’d not put anyone off having a stab at the Arsenal double chance at 6/4 with Sky Bet, but I’m taking a more cautious route and backing them with a +2 goal start so they can win, draw or lose by one for us to land.
In their last 18 away days against top-eight sides, Man City have only won four times by more than one goal. It’s a job-done mentality rather than an all-conquering one for Pep Guardiola in these types of tricky games.
I’m happy to throw in the game to be a card friendly affair in order to boost the price, too. These two teams are notoriously well behaved in their matches. In 2021, only West Ham have seen less yellow cards given to their opponents than Arsenal (50) and Man City (53) when assessing ever-present Premier League teams. It makes the under 50+ booking points very appealing at 4/6 with Sky Bet so I’m happy to sprinkle a bit of that across a nice 100/30 same-game multi-bet priced up by Sky Bet.
